Wednesday, 27 July 2016

wed 27 july

Dutch Shape of the Market



Today's Group Races.

Goodwoods Gp1 Sussex stakes looks red hot to me, I couldn't make a selection on the nose.
Screen shot shows the available 5 runner Dutch frame - i've taken the Margin bet format. i.e. the 5th Runner in the frame is a cover bet at break-even
You can see from the circled graphic the 4 runners clip the 82.5% book value threshold. In group races we definately need to default to the largest achievable frame - so I take the 5 runner dutch.

On the race trend this covers the winners price over 15 of the 16 recorded races since 2000.


So I've no idea what will win but have 90% book value on the Dutch Frame - confident a couple from my frame will be fighting it out?


No comments: