Saturday 20 June

ASCOT - Saturday

On Tuesday there was a losing Dutch bet posted up - in the 15;00 Grp2 race with the fifth in the market 'Pyledriver' getting up. At race time the market changed to allow a 5 no: runner Dutch.

If we include this as a loss, the after the additional Target bet I took a small dip on the day to recover. Tues to Friday there were 11 no bets all winners, so well in profit with the Saturday card to look at.

Today there are six non handicap races to look at. The two Grp2 races and the final 2m5f stakes are minefields and omitted by the market filters I use. So there remain the 3 no: Grp1 races with 5, 4 and 6 runner Dutch Frames.

Im going to avoid any additional Target bets, I suppose Pinturbo in the St James Palace stakes would be the one.

Here are the three races which are officially omitted. The Grp2 are as difficult as handicaps and the final race is distorted by the price of 'Who Dares Wins' far too tight for me.

Tuesday 16 June

ASCOT - Tuesday

If you're as unlucky as me your spam box will be bursting with messages from Masterminds, In the know Advisors and all manner of no more than opinions on Ascot as it finally arrives.

Ultra competitive off the back of delayed training and lack of racing, so as hard as ever to take a profit.

On day 1 there are 5 no; races which meet the Shape of Market criteria.

    13;50 Grp1 - 8 runner Dutch Frame

    14;25 Grp2 - 5 runner Dutch Frame

    15;00 Grp2 - 4 runner Dutch Frame

    15;35 Grp1 - 5 runner Dutch Frame

    16;10 Grp 2 - 5 runner Dutch Frame

Here are the returns on each to the standard 486 stake ratio. In the 14;25 I've shown the Target bet return on fav. Frankly Darling, probably my best hope of an additional target profit of the day.

If I could tell you the winners I wouldn't be Dutching the markets?

So good luck, we're back to some marvelous days racing.

Sun 7 June

Sunday 1000 Guineas

Fortunately Dutching saves me from my opinions 😎 Yesterday I was convinced Pinatubo was well clear of his rivals. Not the case but the winning Dutch bet kept me out of Trouble.

Today's 1000gns allows me a 7 runner Dutch Frame. My thinking is that both Millisle and Raffle Prize have done nothing to show they can get the mile. So I am directing profit onto the fav. plus three other runners in the Dutch Frame.

Out or the 15 runners 9 of them are priced under my 'Field Price Limit' and the dutch bet covers 7 of these. Hoping one of the four have spread the profit on comes good.

Later I'm thinking my best additional Target fav. bet is for the 17;20 race A four runner Dutch Frame paying @ 100 on the fav.

Good luck in the fillies Guineas.

Sat June 6

At Last !

So first post since Nov 30th.

I spent the winter doing a lot of traveling and then managed to get stuck in Lockdown in Spain. Heyho there are worse places to be in Lockdown!
So I haven't even uploaded the Year end results for 2019 to the blog.

At Last we are in for the 2000 guineas meeting.
Of course on any speed ratings Pinturbo is a shoe in and good for at least the mile.

I'm going to dutch with a return on the first four in the market although I do expect the fav. to romp home.

The best fav. Target bet I have marked up today is for the 13;50 grp3 sprint. Here's the current return figure dutching the top six in the market with profit onto the fav.

Glad to have some quality racing back and hope to get some profit rolling again.
Will put up the 2019 figures over the next day or two.