I managed to upload at least 90%+ of the 1,796 Early Bets listed for selected races over the year to 'Live' proof the method. These early bets delivered a P/L of £19,338. Also I uploaded additional Target Bets and festival bets such as Royal Ascot which took the figure well through the 20k target I set for the year.
A sample of 1500 is around the size required to proof to 99% statistical certainty a long term edge, even at the strike rate and odds we are dealing with in these Dutch Bets the sample size required is larger than you may think? Just swerve all short term claims to success if you want to succeed as a pro punter, whatever sport or method.
In total there were, using the full method and 'Shape of Market' filters a total 2,356 ATO bets over the twelve months. P/L off placing all of these to the correct Dutch Frame was £43,524 with a strike rate of 91.3%
(The above figures are calculated off the standard Dutch frame bet I use myself of £485)
What is this 'correct' Dutch Frame? What are Shape of the Market filters? I will try and pull the threads together more fully in 2016.
No comments:
Post a Comment