Dutch: Shape of the Market 2016
The 2016 P/L chart:
- All Filtered race selections P/L & Full Year Return
- An additional Target Bets P/L
- Marked up Draw Down Max .over the year
There are a number of posts on Target betting additional to the standard Dutch Bet.
The Target Bet profile in the graph is based on selected favorites. An entirely MARKET BASED method, without any additional selection process. Over the years I have tried just about every speed rating etc to look at Target Bets. This straight forward mathematical selection beats them.
The 2016 Results and Race Type Breakdown:
Breakdown
Hit the P/L target for the year with the strike rate on the button at 91%, but the Ev and edge were down below my model. There were one or two possible causes behind this and a more speculative reason for the drawdown period in September.
Details to follow.
