Thursday, 26 February 2015

Selections


Things are not going to plan with the early selections.
yesterday in the 17;45 Kempton we had a 3 runner dutch in which the third horse changed later in the day. The third won and strictly when posted it has to be a losing bet. 
More importantly before the off time it had become a no bet for my main ATO bets.

As of this loss the year to-date figures are:
Early Selections   + £1802
ATO Bets             +£5520
   - ok it's profit but 33% of the potential doesn't really hack it?

I'm going to keep the Early Bets going until the end of March to see if the return starts to improve.
Bottom line is I shouldn't have been posting the evening meet early but I knew I wasn't going to be around. So I'm probably going to have to commit to more updates.

What I may do is post the list of potential races and start to post the ATO updates  in advance of races.
This would mean that you could note the race times and check before hand if you want to play the race.
So on today's list for inst: If you think 21 runner maidens at Thurle are a stupid idea! or say Maidens at Chelmford are unproven territory you could skip them and check in at other times.
It doesn't matter which bets are taken or skipped there is no sequence or reason to think this would change returns long term.


So today there is a list of 8 potential race times for ATO updates.
It wouldn't be necessary to check out at every race time -perhaps three updates over the racing when I can make them available.
If the Early selections don't fire a higher return this will be a much better future for the blog. Meanwhile I'll play around with making the above format workable.


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