Wednesday, 22 July 2015

Wednesday 22 july

Early Dutch Bets

Here is today's Pre-list of selected races. None are filtered out today.

I have added some notes to cover the days trial results on yesterdays blog page.




Results only later today.
Also I am taking 1 additional Target Bet today on Davids Beauty 14;50 claimer @ 95-100 return currently.
Friday I hope to cover each race with notes and another full trial day.

Today's summary and full results.
Great day all round. 

If we had backed every race off the pre-list there was one losing bet, but still in profit. The losing bet in the 19;35 Listed stakes at Naas was taken by the 4th runner in the market. Early on a 4 runner Dutch frame could be covered - but no Price Gap to the field. Closer to the off the available Dutch frame reduced to a 3 runner frame. ATO this wa below the filter criteria. If you scan the screen shots there is a column 'Frame Probability Ratio'  This varies by race type, no of runners,etc. At 33% on the reduced 3 runner frame it is way below the requirement.

Again today only 1 no: additional Lite Bet.
Also Davids Beauty came in for me on the Target Bet addition.







Over the next week I intend to revisit each step of the method simple ABC (that'll be a change from me!) 
The blog wont be returning to Live Early Bets every day. But i will cover minimum 4 days a week, usually better. When I'm out or travelling there's just too much disruption involved.

Anyone really digging into the available information will surely be able to cherry pick some races on the blank days developing their own controls? 

I have a blog friend in Botswana! That's a new addition email me please. Do you have race tracks there? Nearest I have spent time is the Ascot track in Zimbabwe, home from home.


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