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Sunday 18 August 2019

Sunday 18th August

Catch Up Time!

Time to catch up and get some results up on this blog

I was complaining in the first three months that it had been slow and hopefully the summer would bring more profit.

Well! Until the beginning of June profit accelerated and it looked good for 40k over the 12 months.

Over confident! You can see from the graph below I hit a complete standstill for 10 weeks following the June P/L touching 20k. 
At over 90% strike rate it's hard to accept that volatility remains aggressive enough to overturn the long term edge for 10 weeks?

It's hard to look for explanations when this happens. Here is the split between NH/turf/AW for the 10 weeks.

NH P/L +154
turf P/L +422
AW P/L -349
 



 Here are the YTD figures and below I have split out the contribution from NH selections, turf Selections and AW selections.


You can see overall off the 1002 selections, 70 losing bets and a 4.55% edge.






 YTD breakdown:

NH Selections   P/L 11,174
Selections 382
Losses 22
Strike Rate 94.24%
Edge 6.03%


turf Selections   P/L 5,852
Selections 414
Losses 34
Strike Rate 91.79%
Edge 2.91%

AW Selections   P/L 5,089
Selections 206
Losses 14
Strike Rate 93.2%
Edge 5.09%

So looking for a pick up on the turf through to the end of the season, having patiently ridden out a ten week hiatus.



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