Sat Nov 30

A Month to Go

There's an old stock market saying three taps and your through. I'm not sure its any advice in racing but the P/L has knocked 35k two or three times and ended yesterday through. Hoping December is not cruel?

Today there are 16 potential Dutch targets.

 Screen shot shows strike rate at 93% - edge 4.3% and 35,138 return at the standard 486 staking.

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So on the day the Shape of the Market filters narrowed down to just four live bets. That's ok we swerved the Fighting Fifth loss where the 2/13f was turned over by a 42.0 betfair shot in a five runner race.
 

I actually took 3 additional races manually - There are only two justifications for this 

- a better dutch frame earlier say half an four before the off.As per the 17:50 race below which offered a five runner frame early, but tightened down to four runner frame at the off.

- a race where you have put the form study in and really eliminated the opposition outside the dutch frame

 This dashboard shot shows the five runner Dutch Frame at 90.3% Bk value 19 mins before the off. This disappeared later. Note the five runner frame is TWO selections above the min. 82.5% Bk value.

 
The automated Dutch bets are based entirely mathematically on the Shape of the Market, without any consideration of form or strength of opposition.