Saturday, 17 October 2015

saturday 17 october

Dutch Lite Bets

Yesterday was one to forget. I shipped two losing bets in the 15;25 Fakenham novice hurdle & 18;05 Dundalk maiden. Also my Target Bet got beaten, although there were no losses on the Dutch Frame.


Afternoon card Dutch Frames.

I have tagged on the bottom the two Ascot Group races I am going to play, we have 91% & 95% cover on the 21 year results trend to these two races. As always in these races I will Target 2 or 3 runners in the Dutch Frame with the balance as cover bets.

  • 10 no: potential Dutch Frames off the afternoon cards.
Note: there are a number of these without the required Price Gap current time - they need checking nearer race time to see if the market crystallizes to a firm bet in each race.


***  Catterick 14;15 has reduced to a 5 runner Dutch Frame - which is a NO Bet***
 
 
Here is my two runner Target Bet on the first of the Ascot Group Races with return @ 115.   The additional runners in the Dutch Frame hedged down to break even
Please check past posts on Group events which I do not take into the results table. I like to play these with a minimum Target return @100
Also to take no notice of my particular Targeting in the race - just my own preferences, no better than anybody eleses opinion! 
The Blog is about a demonstrating a near mathematical edge from long term stats; not opinion.

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