It must have been a real real hard summer sheering sheep? Among the pile of daily drivel in my email box is a re-hash from Martin Bishop, always a stand out bad sign that punters need to cough up!
Best advice from these guys would be a non-runner.
Target bets:
I'm going for a Target Bet in the Kempton 18;10 today.
Return on fav. Yosemite has just dipped below 100 - but should find 100+ return later in day.
This is another of those maidens with fav. well clear on my numbers, but with a bunch of newcomers, one of which needn't be much above average to turn the Fahey (but stable in great form & Jamie Spencer 25%+ strike rate last 14 days) filly over. Keep trying??
What could possibly go wrong!
Poor Jamie he gets plenty of flack when it does and I'll be cursing him too if he lets me down tonight.
Had a few Target losers recently - But Dutch Frames avoiding taking actual losses on the race. I take a miserly, risk averse route to looking for the additional Target Bets because of the double stake on the race I put up.
Obviously its possible to use the Variable Frame method to Target many more races stand alone and aim for much improved edge/expectation figures - but the trade off is a loss of volume of bets and a much slower return overall.
- The Edge x Velocity equation.
Today's Potential Dutch Frames:
- 5 no: potential Dutch Frames of the afternoon. Update @17;30
*** Note the 14;35 Ballin has reduced to a 4 runner Dutch Frame -Remains a Live Bet.***
Update:
- In the 18;10 the Dutch Frame has reduced to 5 runners. I'll put up the revised figures before the off
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