Really messy day yesterday with a bunch of races eliminated, not offering Live bets. Unfortunately they all came in ok against the potential dutch frames. That's just how the markets are some days.
Today's Target Bet:
- Chelm 20;20 Signed Sealed
I've put the current early figures into my Dutch Calc. Dutch Frame 3 runner in box top L.H. You can see the staking amounts on the R.H. side. In the Profit column the 2nd and 3rd in the market are hedged down to 0 allowing the fav. profit to balance at 75. On far right you can see the return on 2nd & 3rd is 487 break even.
On the Book Value graph you can see the 3rd runner in the Dutch frame is safely into the Book value zone ( see IP chart posts)
Dutch Frame book value is bottom left at 90.7
I'm hoping the market will allow the return on the fav. to drift up towards 100 later in the day.
Anyone Who would like a copy of the Dutch calc tool email me?
Its manual input at the moment.
Its manual input at the moment.
If you are looking at a race early there is quite a neat online calculator at a small site 'iDutch' - they issue it free and you can drag and drop prices in from bookmakers to find the best available return.
On the full ATO bets I knocked again at the 30k YTD profit threshold (3rd knock always does it - fingers crossed!) So hoping to avoid another kick back!!
No Target bets or additional Group/Class race bets included in that figure. Level Stakes at the 486 benchmark.
On the full ATO bets I knocked again at the 30k YTD profit threshold (3rd knock always does it - fingers crossed!) So hoping to avoid another kick back!!
No Target bets or additional Group/Class race bets included in that figure. Level Stakes at the 486 benchmark.
Today's Potential Frames:
Down to just the three for today
The market wiped out the 3 runner frame for the Target Bet - but the new 2 runner frame remains a live prospect.
I'll update @ 17;00 as its a late race.
Update:
In the 20;20 Chelm race - the 3 runner frame is below minimum return.
The 2 runner frame remains a Live ATO bet for me and returns @ 100-110 currently on the standard bet
However the Book Value is down to @ 80% on the bet and I wouldn't add in the Target Bet on the fav.
So assuming it doesn't drift back out to a 3 runner frame near the off I'll settle for the 1 no: bet only on the 2 runners.
- Subject to Price Gap near the off
- Return not increasing above 120 Cap for 2 runner frames.
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