saturday 1 aug

Dutch Lite Bets

Today's Pre-List.

I have added the Goodwood Grp1 at the bottom which meets the separate criteria for Group class with a 6 runner Dutch frame up to 17.0 If the bet is weighted fully to the fav. Legatissimo the return is @ 150. First + 2nd fav return is @ 100, etc.

As of today I am reorganising with the pre-list followed by the possible 'Lite Bets', omitting the old Early bets from the equation.
The deficit between Ealry Bets and the full ATO bets has been disastrous! In July the ATO return is a good 5,868 -  whilst the Early Bets only scraped break even.
So its drop out the Early Bets, Keep it simple, with one list of Lite bets which can be backed any time up to the off  - if the basic market requirements hold.
Se if we can cross the gulf between the results from the blog and the full ATO bets I place.
Today there are two races eliminated off the pr-list. Nemarket 15;25 + Goodwood 16;20 Leaving 11 no: races on the pre-list + the Grp1 entertainment bet.

In the Nassau Stakes Grp1 I'm going for 3 against the field in a difficult race on a difficult days meetings and going.

Off the afternoon cards there just the 3 Bets potentially Live.
Two of these currently are below the minimum Price Gap of 2pts.

All should be checked to the following criteria.

• No change to the available Dutch Frame size.
• Price Gap is at minimum 2pts

The first 2 races are bet with the fav_Hedge Bet
The 3rd race with a 3 runner Dutch frame is the straight Dutch Bet.

13;45 Donc
In this race I cannot achieve the required 6 runner dutch frame with the preferred fav_Hedge bet.
So I have to make the 6 runner frame with the standard Dutch as per screen shot.

As the race unfolded it was the fav. home so on this occasion the straight Dutch paid out more at @ 59, than the preferred fav_Hedge bet.

• All Dutch frames above 3 runner the fav_Hedge bet is the first preference and will pay out much higher over time.

14;15 Newmarket
The price Gap between the 7th runner in the Dutch Frame & the next in market runner opened up as the off approached. 
Race becomes a 7 no: Runner Dutch frame; Fav_Hedge bet; 3rd fav wins the race with return at 100 on the frame.

15;50 Galway
The price Gap between the 3rd runner in the Dutch Frame & the next in market runner opened 11.5 -21.
Live bet but return has dropped as market tightened up towards the off.

1-3-2 result in 15;50 so no stress! 
Nassau Stakes fav Legatissimo won convincingly - One of my trio in the weighted Dutch bet. So decent on an afternoons tough racing.

Late cards Update
Three additional races to cover on the late cards

• 17;55 Ling = 5 runner Dutch frame; fav_hedge bet with fav hedged down to @5 I the market tightens and the fav_Hedge bet will not cover the 5 runner frame move to option 2 using the straight 5 runner Dutch bet.
• 18;15 Ham = 3 runner Dutch Frame' straight Dutch Bet.
• 19;30 Ling = 4 runner Dutch Frame; instructions as per 17;55

The following are the check criteria:

• Bet Live only if Price Gap remains 2pts or greater

•  Bet is live Only if you can obtain the Dutch Frame size (or higher if there is a market drift)

• On straight bets minimum return of 45//486 bet (prorata to bet size)