Saturday, 15 August 2015

saturday 15 august

Dutch Lite Bets

Afternoon potential Dutch Frames:
Yesterday most of the potential bets failed to match up -but still managed a loss in the 19;15 Catterick where a 4 runner dutch frame in the 5 total field got wacked!
Today just the three subject to the normal criteria near the race off.



No Target Bats around for me at the moment but I am taking the Hungerford Grp 2 15;45 at Newbury. The 8 runner Dutch Frame covers the race trend criteria well, that I put up in previous posts.
I have targeted  4 of the 8 runner Dutch Frame available. In these entertainment group bets I like to keep the return 100+ As far as my 4 go - everyone's got an opinion! those are just mine in a pretty open race this year.
In the earlier Grp 3 race Romsdal looked an interesting Target, but I don't want to take the race on off a 4 runner Dutch Frame, so I'll pass and happy to just watch.



Here is the correct fav_Hedge Bet with the stable 2pt Price Gap near the off.
( 1.5-2.0 movement is ok right on ATO)
The fav is hedged down to 50 return.
Price Gap Alfredandnobell 11.0 - Lady Nahema 13.0 
Second in market Flying Pursuit takes the race returning a full 100 to the 486 bet.
In bet placement the 486 wont be exact matched often, It doesn't matter within a sensible variance, say 475 - 500 as long as staking is in the Risk of Ruin tables I published. Don't Overbet into bankroll figures - but then don't worry about small variance on bet placement.


Evening update:
2 possibles left on the evening cards.




(NOTE*** 19;05 Ling is a 2 runner Dutch Frame not 3 as in current screen shot)



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