Pretty well a written off month with no real funds added to my bank. Ouch! So hoping we see a good upswing over the summer.
With six months up the Early bets cumulative is at 10,736.
I realize some races it is difficult to match the returns posted, some others can better the posted return.
If the return has reduced try some limited targeting of the dutch frame, break-even the last runner, etc.
I will also try and up the number of targeted bets posted to help bridge any gap.
My own ATO return is below. All though its miserable tough sometimes I'm on course for better than the 'benchmark' 35k I set for the year.
Despite a poor month the strike rate remains > 90% & edge 3.7%
The blog is about professional analysis of stats underpinning the market and whether they can generate a long term edge.
Opinions don't count.
Trying to forecast results based on what someone thinks is a failed theory confirmed by 99% of punters.
Sure I like to test my opinions, particularly in the class races, but this is no part of the methodology. Every single race someones opinion is right and if you collect enough of them together you can always talk up the lucky one. If you track a dozen systems or half a dozen tipsters the illusion is complete.
That's not to say there aren't people out there whose opinion I value, there are. But they certainly wouldn't even be offering me their opinion if they could profit month-in month-out.
Here is the Early Dutch Frame monthly update.
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