friday 24 july

Early Dutch Bets

Today's Pre-List.

Swerving both the Ascot maidens - class2 is an out and all first time outer in aug is out without the ATO market

Trial Notes: Afternoon cards

Today I am going to put various notes up as to what is happening race by race.

Changes introduced on Early Bets are:-
a) Some additional races filtered out from pre-list.
b) Minimum  value on matched bets. If below this early the bets are left to be checked as Lite Bets near the off. Currently using 15k minimum matched,(may have to revisit this for Irish racing and NH winter?
c) Early bet Price Gap increased. If left for checking as Lite bet minimum is 2pts clear, ATO I use 1.5pts.


So we are left with 2no: Early Bets + 2no: additional Lite Bets to follow

• 13;40 Uttox; meets early bet requirements -ok. Nothing changes ATO, only 4 runners in the 'field' criteria, hopefully a good 3 runner Dutch Frame Early Bet. first 3 in betting dominate and 3rd Flower Power takes it.
  

• 13;50 Ascot; flagged up on race selection. But in any case eliminated on Shape of market filters. The Strike & the Uplift figures crash for the Grade 2 maidens admittedly off a relatively small sample size. Race doesn't meet ATO filters in any case. Ground changing at Ascot, I'm down there tomorrow really hope Golden Horn isn't ditched out of King George. So 5th in market wins, outside Dutch Frame well Swerved!

• 14;20 Ascot; ditto. I trust the Stats & the market, with all info factored in ATO, on first time out runners in maidens and take them on most occasions ATO. But 8 no: unraced 2yo's at Ascot mid season, Early Bet? No thanks!

• 14;30 Thirsk; moved to a Lite bet (check near off for frame size & Price Gap) Reason only 11k matched at time. This race has tightened up to a 5 runner Dutch Frame. So Lite Bet = No Bet. Also the 5 runner frame is filtered out ATO. No Bet. Result 6th in market goes in.
  

• 15;30 Ascot: meets Early bet requirements - ok

Problems all round with this race, First  I made a mistake in the original screen shot it was a 6 runner frame. I've had to cancel out this bet as the race cut up with the ground change. Now down to 7 runners here is the set Up for ATO bet - 4 runner Dutch frame is a bet for me so long as the Price Gap (currently 7>9.2) holds up ATO.

• Another withdrawal now down to 6 runners and No Bet. What a messy afternoon? 

• 

• 15;40 Thirsk; moved to a Lite bet. Reason only 14k matched at time.

it may be you could just scrap the 3 runner frame with couple of mins or so to go @ 46 return.

Evening cards