Monday 31 Dec

Happy New Year:


Here are the Year End figures and below the breakdown between Turf, A.W. & N.H. selected races.

Over the next few days I will post other breakdown figures - by Dutch Frame size, etc.
And try and outline a revamped blog for 2019.
If you look back through the blog you will see I set a benchmark for the returns of 35k, so another good result

So on the last day there was only 1 no: live selection. 

Columns AE - AQ
There were a couple of loses over the last few days and the final P/L figure of 41,939 (to the standard 486 stake) dropping slightly from a max. 42,326 on the 28th.
You can see from the screen shot below the Edge and strike rate figures there were 1711 live selections taken with114 painful loses.

Columns L - O
This is the inserted additional bets on Targeted favorites.
For inst taking only those returning > 95 to the 486 stake. The addition was 11,616 off 290 live bets placed.



Turf Races Only:
 

 A.W. Races Only:
 

N.H. Races Only:

The turf figures were down compared with most prior years and NH particularly good. There's always a sizeable gap, as would be expected if you go back to the race by race fav. percentage and Uplift percentage figures which have always been stronger for NH racing. (columns I&J int All races top screen shot)

This year the AW edge has outperformed the turf, I find this hard to explain when we had a wonderful summer of good stable going on the turf? 
The introduction of many more Nov. stakes and fewer maidens with revised entry requirements may have an explanation and I'm going to dig into the data on this.

Conversely the fav. Target bets on the AW actually showed a small loss on the >95 return!


So I have to get off and celebrate All the Best and more to come in the New Year.





I missed replying to quite a lot of emails during the summer. Firstly an apology and secondly don't let it put you off getting in contact in the future. I enjoy everyone's thoughts and experience of the racing game. I will try to respond in 2019. Perhaps I need to separate out an email for the blog.
My standard email is bombarded with absolute rubbish daily from the usual suspects, shysters, tipsters, trying to extract funds off punters, offering their opinions, cobbled up methods and bizarre claims to be mathematicians, laying on a hot beach, in the know, the Bookies enemy, etc, rather than being able to actually demonstrate how to beat the book long term.