Four Group 1 races down the Curragh card today What a weekends racing its been.
Here is the first ~ 206k 5f sprint. Margin bet pays 65/486 or Target down if you've got your preferences. Yesterday my St Leger pick on the day Dee Ex Bee faded in the final half furlong to 4th place. But I still made money on the race with the Dutch bets ( My tipping is definitely not worth following ~ but then neither is anyone else's long term!)
On the RH Book value chart we see the need for the 5 runner Dutch Frame to clear the minimum 82.5% book. In the Shape of the Market graph LH side we have only 1 no: additional runner in the 'Field Envelope' (those I consider active in the market at the field size)
The return has jumped a little showing 71 on the margin bet in this screen shot.
Toward the end of last week the YTD return tapped through 30k on the standard bets. Its consolidated over the weekend, hoping there's no draw down on the horizon back below the 30k.
You can see in the YTD figures at the top, the strike rate has clipped 93% with 1,248 bets placed live. In these were included 87 losing bets dumping back 42,282 of loses. If only we could avoid all or more pitfalls!
There were a lot of races eliminated yesterday leaving just seven live bets overall + 2no: additional Target bets. Not optimal live bet selection but did avoid what would have been the one losing bet in the 13;45 Listowel. In this race the Dutch frame was down to 2 no: runners in a strong market, but the 4th in the market just turned over the favorite, Joseph O'brien runner first time hurdling at 16/1.
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