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Wednesday, 17 August 2016

Wednesday 17 August

Dutch Shape of the Market



Today's Group Races

Terrific cards at the York festival this week. Todays Grp1 Juddmonte is certainly to tough for me to unravel!

We can get a six runner Dutch Frame on this years race and it would have covered every winner over the last 22 yrs. until Mr Elsworth broke the trend last year turning over hot pot Golden Horn with a 50/1 winner!!




 Still its a solid prospect. In the Group races I always check out the trends, but this year has returned excellent results (so far ) on the big races.

I do like the top 3 in the betting and will Target bet the three at  @95 return with the other three cover break even bets .
Here is the equal return on the six runner frame - return  @65 with Bk value 88% on the Dutch Frame - RH side can see the 6th in the market take us through th 82.5% Bk base line.       






If you're hook-line-sinker for Postponed, Target bet on the fav. alone returns @ 160 currently?
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***Surprising both Postponed  & Highland reel drifted before the off.  Finished 1-2 in market order, Postponed had it in the form book and proved it pretty stylishly. Now 6 wins on the bounce and unbeaten over twelve months in Grp1 or 2 and drifts! ***

The other two York Group races were No Bets for me today.


 

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