sat 23 July

Dutch Shape of the Market



Today's Group Races.

Here are the Shape of Market graphic to show how different these markets are.
In the Group 1 Ascot 16;30 I've put the equal 4 runner Dutch Frame figures up. In the 7 runner field we have 4 in the frame @ 65 return. Book value 88.2

In the York Group2 15;35 I've put the fav Target Bet Return up @60. We have a 3 runner Dutch frame in the 5 runner field. Book value on the Frame is 90.9

The third Group race at 14;45 is a 'No Bet' race I've put it up to show the difference in the Market. We have a one horse fav. dominated market. Although we can cover it with 6 other runners in the Dutch Frame, it should be clear these 6 in the market are not significantly better placed than the remainder to win - if the favorite slips up? So even though the Dutch book is 86.5 this race fails the Shape of Market filters.