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Monday, 1 February 2016

Monday 1 february

Dutch Lite Bets

I was knocked out with a viral infection for nearly two weesks early Jan - so decided to throw the towel in on January. As it turned out the results were not great so no great loss for me.


Will update the year end + jan results over next 24 hrs Won't be putting up so many Live bets this year but hope to cover the principles in more detail

Today's Pre-List:

Four potential races today 
  • 13;35 Plumpton - is a standard 3 runner Dutch Frame
  • 14;35 Wolv - another standard 3 runner Dutch Frame
  • 14;50 Kempton - requires the margin Bet to achioeve the 3 runner Dutch frame (Margin bet with 3rd in market taken at break even as a cover bet only)
  • 16;45 Wolv - 5 runner Dutch Frame using the fav_hedge bet ( the favorite is currently hedged  









Here is my screen shot for the 14;35 The Dutch Frame on this race is unbalanced with 4 runners below the Pivot Price of 12.5 But only three of thes in the Frame Frome the RH chart we can see the 3 runner frame is clear of the 82.5% probability threshold. On these 4-3 Dutch Frames there is a retun Cap of 85 _ and if the frame drifts through this nearer to the off it is a No Bet. Even though there is a good Price Gap of 5.3 on the frame - can't take these particular bets until ATO.








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