monday 23 november

Dutch Lite Bets

Target Bet 'Fletchers Flyer' let me down and was turned over by the v strong second fav. in a good race. That's the advantage of the Dutching methodology I follow - my Opinion on the race turned out to be wrong - but no losses and the second fav. delivering the goods on the standard bet.

After a poor Friday's results it was a clean weekend with 22 no: Race selections all won by a runner within the projected 'Frame' Of these 22 it was only possible to go Live on 12 of the races (13 on the ATO listing)

ATO bet P/L is 38,743 year to date @ 91% strike rate and edge 3.6% across the 2,236 Live bets. With the Target bets and Group bets its already through the 40k mark.
No Losing months and a Live sample of 2236 should be enough to keep the conviction on the edge showing through when taking those bets into a drawdown period?

Obviously for many the bet volume isn't something they can follow. But the basic strategy here can be worked intermittently, there's no downside to this at 91% strike,  and the basic strategy can be added to with a greater level of target betting, selectivity, etc, within the race selection process. 

Weekend Results & YTD figures for all ATO bets:

Afternoon Cards: @ 12;45

*** the 13;20 Ludlow market has tightened and it looks as though the Dutch Frame will remain down to 4 runners. In this race this will still be a Live Bet. Take the 4 runner frame if the 5 runner opportunity has gone ATO***

Update
There's just the one additional bet for me on the Chelmsford card.
Note: with a Price Gap of @ 7 -19 to the 5th in the market I usually take these bets on early to grab the return.