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Friday, 27 March 2015

Friday Early Bets

Todays Dutch bets


There was no update yesterday as the standard bet was below the return minimum.
Some of these favorite dominated markets I play as a Targeted Bet. Using the variable dutch /hedge to break even on the runners in the Dutch Frame leaving the profit in the favorite.
Here's last nights race.
I actually played the fav to £52.28 return. (it quickly dropped to 46.23)
'Entertainment' just scraped home from the 4th runner in the dutch frame 'Strong Steps' by the shortest of heads. I definitely wouldn't have liked to be on the nose with this favorite!

Book value on the Dutch Frame was 93% and at the implied probability the calculated return to 485 is 36.5 - so I consider 52.28 ok 

So there's actual four bets i bring into play.

  • Dutch to equal profit. All results based on this.
  • fav Hedge with dutch to equal profit. My main ATO bet 
  • Multibet on small dutch frames (occasional high value here)
  • Targeted bet - using variable dutch return to hedge the frame


Of course if you have information or strong likes for a particular runner in the dutch frame can use the targeted bet if preferred?

Dutch to equal profit only until full bank roll. 





13;30 Upload Early Bets 

Three Early Bets



Update @ 17;00 for Eve Meets 

Three Evening meet Bets






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